El Niño is back

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peterdannock  •  16 Jun 2026   •    
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El Niño is a periodic climate pattern that originates in the tropical Pacific Ocean, where unusually warm sea surface temperatures disrupt normal weather systems. For Australia, this shift has serious consequences, as it weakens the trade winds that usually carry moisture from the Pacific across the continent. As a result, much of Australia, particularly the east and southeast, experiences hotter, drier conditions. According to the Bureau of Meteorology, El Niño is back.

The impact can be profound. Reduced rainfall increases the risk of drought, straining water supplies, agriculture, and livestock. Crops such as wheat and barley are especially vulnerable, often resulting in lower yields and higher food costs. At the same time, hotter temperatures and dry landscapes significantly increase the likelihood and severity of bushfires, a risk Australians have become all too familiar with in recent years. El Niño can also affect river systems and reservoirs, reducing inflows and stressing already fragile ecosystems. Even urban areas feel the effects through water restrictions and heatwaves, which put additional strain on infrastructure and human health.

Because Australia’s climate is strongly influenced by ocean patterns, the onset of El Niño is closely monitored. When it develops, it signals not only a shift in weather but also a season of heightened environmental, economic, and community challenges.

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